Previous articles in the series addressed the concepts of implementing strategic foresight, conducting horizon scanning, imagining black swans, and mapping existing systems. Now, we’ll look at developing scenarios upon which to base strategies for disaster preparedness.
The Future is Unwritten
The most important thing to remember is that the future is unpredictable. Yes, there will be patterns and trends that may continue into the future. However, patterns and trends can always change course, and the effect they have on everything else can also change.
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I published another article with Prepare with Foresight. This one describes horizon scanning and environmental scanning and how they can be used for disaster preparedness. I compare them to an extended version of situational awareness.
Here’s the intro:
In my previous post, I explained how individuals can benefit from strategic foresight. Now, I’ll dig a little deeper into how to actually do that. Environmental and horizon scanning are like the ditch digging, prospecting, or burger flipping of strategic foresight because they are tediously essential to everything else a futurist does. These two terms are easily confused and often considered the same thing by experts. I distinguish the two because it helps me focus on their different purposes.
Environmental scanning is about looking at past and present events to understand the current state of a nation, industry, organization, etc. This should only need to be done once in a while as needed. Horizon scanning, on the other hand, is about looking for changes that may affect the future and should be done on a regular basis—daily, weekly, or at least monthly.
Finish reading: http://www.preparewithforesight.com/horizon-scanning/
I have just started a new series are Prepare with Foresight about what strategic foresight is and how it can be applied to contingency planning and disaster preparedness.
What is the most important tool in your survival kit? Is it the tins of food, the can opener, the gun, the bullets, the gas lamp? Your most important tool for surviving a disaster is the same as for thriving in a safe, modern world: your brain. However, that tool is only as useful as the whetstone with which you sharpen it. The full name of this website is ‘Prepared with Foresight’, but to date, most of the posts have been about preparation and less about foresight. So, let me introduce you to the most important tool in my own mental toolbox, strategic foresight.
Read the rest at Using Strategic Foresight in Disaster Preparedness
The Association of Professional Futurists (APF) will commemorate World Future Day 2017 with an experiment in crowdsourcing an ode to the future. This will run from midnight, 12:01 AM , UTC+14 MARCH 1st to midnight 11:59 PM UTC-11. Thomas Jefferson once said. “I like the dreams…
via Commemorate World Futures Day: Speak Future #SPKFUTR — Association of Professional Futurists #spkfutr
It is World Futures Day, and the APF is commemorating it with a Twitter chat poetry slam as the link above describes.
The Millennium Project is holding its annual video chat on Google Hangouts.
- World Future Day — March 1 — join futurists from around the world in a 24-hour conversation about the world’s potential futures, challenges, and opportunities. The online dialogue will start at 12 noon in Auckland, New Zealand and move across the world ending in Honolulu at 12 noon. You can connect to the Hangout session at: MP-FuturesDay2017
See more here:
AROUND THE WORLD IN 24 HOURS: WORLD FUTURES DAY
This post is a promotion for World Futures Day hosted by The Millennium Project, press release. Also, be sure to join the APF as we host a Twitter chat poetry slam on the future. So, first click here https://goo.gl/4hCJq3 and then click here: Around-the-World 24-Hour Conversation on the Future to Celebrate World Future Day March …